Not Today/ GARTENGARTEN OPENING PROBABILITY · NEXT KLUBNACHT
Garten.
Forecast unavailable. We couldn't reach the forecast service just now — check back shortly.
LIVE CONDITIONSBERLIN · OSTBAHNHOF
TEMPERATURE
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NO LIVE WEATHER
RAIN CHANCE
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MODEL
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SEASONAL BASE RATE
TARGETING
04 JUL
SAT
HOW THIS WORKS · ONE PARAGRAPH
A model trained on 15 years of Garten openings, hourly weather, lineup tags, and the season's base rates. Within two weeks of an event it uses the live weather forecast; further out it falls back to climatology. We don't get inside information — we just guess from the outside, in public, and tell you our work.
01TRAIN
15 years of weekend nights × weather, climatology, lineup and crowd features.
02PREDICT
Weather-aware within ~14 days of the event; a pure historical base rate beyond that.
03CHECK
Refreshed continuously and re-scored against what actually happened. No cherry-picking.
NOT A BET
Don't plan your night around this number. The Garten opens because someone with keys decides to open it. We just guess from outside. If we're wrong, it's because we were wrong.